Avalon (electoral district)

Avalon
Newfoundland and Labrador electoral district
Interactive map of riding boundaries from the 2025 federal election
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Paul Connors
Liberal
District created2003
First contested2004
Last contested2025
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)[1]86,494
Electors (2025)[2]69,890
Area (km²)[3]6,457.79
Pop. density (per km²)13.4
Census divisionDivision 1
Census subdivision(s)St. John's (part), Conception Bay South, Bay Roberts, Carbonear, Harbour Grace, Spaniard's Bay, Holyrood, Victoria, Witless Bay, Bay Bulls


Avalon is a federal electoral district on Newfoundland Island in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. It has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada, with varying boundaries, since 2004.

Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census; 2023 representation[4]

Racial groups: 96.3% White, 2.7% Indigenous
Languages: 99.2% English
Religions: 86.2% Christian (38.9% Catholic, 25.8% Anglican, 11.8% United Church, 3.0% Methodist, 2.7% Pentecostal, 3.9% Other), 13.5% No religion
Median income (2020): $38.800
Average income (2020): $49,560

Geography

The neighbouring ridings are Terra Nova—The Peninsulas to the west and north, and Cape Spear (electoral district) and St. John's East to the east.

Political geography

Avalon is divided between the Liberal north and the Conservative south. Conservative support is found along the southern coast from the community of Bay Bulls to Southern Harbour. The Conservatives also have some concentration in the north central peninsula, including winning the town of Harbour Grace. The Liberals dominate the central and northern parts of the riding. In 2008, the NDP won two polls, one was a mobile poll, and the other contained the community of Hopeall. The Greens also won a poll in Witless Bay. [1]

History

The electoral district was created in 2003 from 57.6% of Bonavista—Trinity—Conception, 21.9% of St. John's West and 20.5% of St. John's East ridings.


The 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution concluded that the electoral boundaries of Avalon should be adjusted.[5] The redefined Avalon had its boundaries legally defined in the 2013 representation order which came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for October 2015.[6] 21% of this riding will be moved into Bonavista—Burin—Trinity, and 3% will be moved into St. John's South—Mount Pearl, and will gain 25% of its new territory from St. John's East. It was given the boundaries described above.

Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding lost the eastern shore of Placentia Bay to Terra Nova—The Peninsulas, gained Salmon Cove from Bonavista—Burin—Trinity, lost the remainder of Paradise to Cape Spear, gain Witless Bay, Bay Bulls and the Southlands and Goulds areas of St. John's from St. John's South—Mount Pearl.[7] These changes came into effect upon the calling of the 2025 Canadian federal election.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Avalon
Riding created from Bonavista—Trinity—Conception,
St. John's East and St. John's West
38th  2004–2006     John Efford Liberal
39th  2006–2008     Fabian Manning Conservative
40th  2008–2011     Scott Andrews Liberal
41st  2011–2014
 2014–2015     Independent
42nd  2015–2019     Ken McDonald Liberal
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–2025
45th  2025–present Paul Connors

Election results

2025

2025 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Paul Connors 27,563 58.61 +7.73
Conservative Steve Kent 16,953 36.05 +3.01
New Democratic Judy Vanta 2,284 4.86 −9.39
Rhinoceros Alexander Tilley 230 0.49 N/A
Total valid votes/expense limit 47,030 99.18
Total rejected ballots 389 0.82
Turnout 47,419 66.92
Eligible voters 70,859
Liberal notional hold Swing +2.36
Source: Elections Canada[8]
2021 Election Results by Polling Area

2021

2021 federal election redistributed results[9]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 17,916 50.88
  Conservative 11,636 33.04
  New Democratic 5,019 14.25
  People's 643 1.83


2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Ken McDonald 18,608 50.10 +3.83 $46,697.12
Conservative Matthew Chapman 12,738 34.29 +3.19 $56,179.94
New Democratic Carolyn Davis 5,151 13.87 −3.41 $0.00
People's Lainie Stewart 647 1.74 – $0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 37,144 99.27   $110,063.67
Total rejected ballots 273 0.73 –0.22
Turnout 37,417 52.77 –6.55
Registered voters 70,903
Liberal hold Swing +0.32
Source: Elections Canada[10][11]

2019

2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Ken McDonald 19,122 46.26 −9.64 $63,518.25
Conservative Matthew Chapman 12,855 31.10 +20.00 $37,082.47
New Democratic Lea Mary Movelle 7,142 17.28 +2.85 none listed
Green Greg Malone 2,215 5.36 +4.82 none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 41,334 99.05 -0.57 $104,436.05
Total rejected ballots 397 0.95 +0.57
Turnout 41,731 59.33 −2.36
Eligible voters 70,341
Liberal hold Swing −14.82
Source: Elections Canada[12][13]


2015

2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Ken McDonald 23,528 55.90 +22.73 $70,924.68
Independent Scott Andrews 7,501 17.82 –26.15 $63,334.50
New Democratic Jeannie Baldwin 6,075 14.43 –14.10 $70,840.75
Conservative Lorraine E. Barnett 4,670 11.10 –26.00 $58,123.54
Green Krista Byrne-Puumala 228 0.54 –0.09 $76.49
Strength in Democracy Jennifer McCreath 84 0.20 – –
Total valid votes/expense limit 42,086 100.00   $208,407.32
Total rejected ballots 162 0.38    
Turnout 42,248 62.33    
Eligible voters 67,781      
Liberal notional gain from Independent Swing +24.36
Source: Elections Canada[14][15]
2011 federal election redistributed results[16]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 13,214 37.09
  Liberal 11,820 33.18
  New Democratic 10,164 28.53
  Green 226 0.63
  Others 201 0.56

2011

In the 2011 election, the Liberal candidate was the incumbent MP, Scott Andrews, a former municipal councillor from Conception Bay South. He defeated the Tory candidate, Senator Fabian Manning of St. Bride's, for the second election in a row. Manning was the Conservative MP for this riding from 2006 to 2008, when he lost to Andrews.

2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Scott Andrews 16,008 43.97 -1.31 $71,517.62
Conservative Fabian Manning 14,749 40.51 +5.35 $85,098.25
New Democratic Matthew Martin Fuchs 5,157 14.16 -3.22 $3,735.98
Independent Randy Wayne Dawe 276 0.76 – $1,060.00
Green Matt Crowder 218 0.60 -1.57 $11.96
Total valid votes/expense limit 36,408 100.0   – $85,411.40
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots 166 0.45 -0.34
Turnout 36,574 56.77 +4.97
Eligible voters 64,424
Liberal hold Swing -3.33
Sources:[17][18]

2008

2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Scott Andrews 14,866 45.28 +6.70 $68,253
Conservative Fabian Manning 11,542 35.16 -16.39 $54,159
New Democratic Randy Wayne Dawe 5,707 17.38 +8.31 $25,080
Green Dave Aylward 714 2.17 +1.37 $766
Total valid votes/expense limit 32,829 100.0   – $82,453
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots 262 0.79 -0.86
Turnout 33,091 51.80 -7.81
Eligible voters 63,882
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +11.54

2006

2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Fabian Manning 19,132 51.55 +22.24 $71,141
Liberal Bill Morrow 14,318 38.58 -19.76 $71,528
New Democratic Eugene Conway 3,365 9.07 -1.91 $1,036
Green Shannon Hillier 297 0.80 -0.57 none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 37,112 100.0   – $76,596
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots 623 1.65 +0.59
Turnout 37,735 59.61 +9.78
Eligible voters 63,303
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +21.00

2004

2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal R. John Efford 18,335 58.34 +12.41 $47,245
Conservative Rick Dalton 9,211 29.31 -10.37 $50,104
New Democratic Michael Kehoe 3,450 10.98 -3.24 $2,472
Green Don C. Ferguson 430 1.37 – $746
Total valid votes/expense limit 31,246 100.0   – $74,947
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots 336 1.06
Turnout 31,762 49.83
Eligible voters 63,745
Liberal notional hold Swing +11.39
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Change for the Conservatives is from the combined totals of the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance.
2000 federal election redistributed results
Party Vote %
  Liberal 17,614 45.93
  Progressive Conservative 14,412 37.58
  New Democratic 5,454 14.22
  Alliance 805 2.10
  Others 66 0.17

Student vote results

2025

2025 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Liberal Paul Connors 1,215 39.80
Conservative Steve Kent 1,162 38.06
New Democratic Judy Vanta 379 12.41
Rhinoceros Alexander Tilley 297 9.73
Total votes 3,053 100
Source: Student Vote Canada[19]

2021

2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Liberal Ken McDonald 857 36.77
New Democratic Carolyn Davis 707 30.33
Conservative Matthew Chapman 622 26.68
People's Lainie Stewart 145 6.22
Total votes 2,331 100
Source: Student Vote Canada[20]

2019

2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Kenneth McDonald 1,332 30.35 -24.69
New Democratic Lea Mary Movelle 1,292 29.44 +14.74
Conservative Matthew Chapman 1,045 23.81 +17.03
Green Greg Malone 720 16.4 +12.4
Total Valid Votes 4,389 100.0 –
Source: Student Vote Canada[21]

2015

2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ken McDonald 633 55.04 +6.32
Independent Scott Andrews 212 18.43 -30.29
New Democratic Jeannie Baldwin 169 14.7 +3.33
Conservative Lorraine E. Barnett 78 6.78 -22.74
Green Krista Byrne-Puumala 46 4 -3.86
Strength in Democracy Jennifer McCreath 12 1.04 –
Total Valid Votes 1,150 100.0 –
Source: Student Vote Canada[22]

2011

2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Liberal Scott Andrews 972 48.72
Conservative Fabian Manning 589 29.52
New Democratic Matthew Martin Fuchs 227 11.37
Green Matt Crowder 157 7.86
Independent Randy Wayne Dawe 50 2.5
Total Valid Votes 1,995 100.0
Source: Student Vote Canada[23]

See also

References

  • "Avalon (electoral district) (Code 10001) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.

Notes

  1. ^ Statistics Canada: 2017
  2. ^ "Canada Gazette, Part I, Volume 159, Number 6". Government of Canada. April 22, 2025. Retrieved April 27, 2025.
  3. ^ Statistics Canada: 2017
  4. ^ "Profile table". Statistics Canada. August 2, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2025.
  5. ^ Report – Newfoundland and Labrador
  6. ^ Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts, archived from the original on April 18, 2017, retrieved June 29, 2013
  7. ^ "New Federal Electoral Map for Newfoundland and Labrador". Federal Electoral Districts Redistribution 2022. March 23, 2023. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
  8. ^ "Avalon". Elections Canada. Elections Canada. Retrieved November 6, 2025.
  9. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  10. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 8, 2025.
  11. ^ "Candidate Campaign Returns". Elections Canada. Retrieved July 19, 2022.
  12. ^ "Results Validated by the Returning Officer". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 24, 2019.
  13. ^ "Final Election Expense Limits for Candidates: 43rd General Election - October 21, 2019". Elections Canada. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
  14. ^ "October 19, 2015 Election Results — Avalon (Validated results)". Elections Canada. October 21, 2015. Archived from the original on October 26, 2015. Retrieved October 24, 2015.
  15. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2015-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  16. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  17. ^ Elections Canada – Official voting results, Forty-first general election, 2011
  18. ^ Elections Canada – Candidate's electoral campaign return, 41st general election
  19. ^ "Student Vote Canada 2025". Retrieved May 3, 2025.
  20. ^ "Student Vote Canada 2021". Retrieved May 16, 2025.
  21. ^ "Student Vote Canada 2019". Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  22. ^ "Student Vote". Retrieved September 20, 2020.
  23. ^ "District Results". Student Vote. Archived from the original on May 6, 2015. Retrieved September 20, 2020.


47°17′N 53°21′W / 47.29°N 53.35°W / 47.29; -53.35

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