2010 United States Senate election in New York

For the other Senate election in New York held in parallel, see 2010 United States Senate special election in New York.

2010 United States Senate election in New York
November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Chuck Schumer Jay Townsend
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance
Parties
 Conservative
Popular vote 3,047,111 1,479,724
Percentage 66.33% 32.21%
County results
Schumer:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Townsend:      40–50%      50–60%
U.S. senator before election

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

The 2010 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 2, 2010, along with elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a third term. Schumer won every county except for Wyoming, Tioga, and Hamilton counties.[1]

Background

In the 2004 U.S. Senate election, Schumer had defeated Republican Assemblyman Howard Mills by a 71 to 24 percent margin. Schumer was highly popular in New York, and it was believed that any Republican contender would likely not fare well against him in 2010.[2] Schumer was heavily favored to retain his seat.[3]

In addition to this regular election, there was also a special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Hillary Clinton, who became the United States Secretary of State on January 21, 2009. In addition, there was the New York gubernatorial election. The existence of two other top-level statewide races, one with a Democratic incumbent perceived as vulnerable and the other an open race, respectively,[4] was believed to lead major New York Republicans to gravitate towards them rather than challenge the popular Schumer.[2][5]

Republican nomination

Convention

Candidates

  • Gary Berntsen, retired CIA officer, received the party's endorsement on the second round of balloting[6]
  • Martin Chicon, candidate for New York Senate in 2008[7] and New York Republican State Committee member from upper Manhattan.
  • George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller[8]
  • James Staudenraus, Long Island resident and 2008 state assembly candidate[9]
  • Jay Townsend, Republican strategist (finished second and also qualified for the primary)[6]

Results

Only two candidates, Berntsen and Townsend, obtained at least 25% of the vote at the New York State Republican Convention on June 1, 2010. Berntsen came in first,[10] but still needed to win the primary in order to win the Republican nomination. Berntsen lost the primary to Jay Townsend.[11]

Primary

Candidates

  • Gary Berntsen
  • Jay Townsend

Results

Results by county:
  Townsend
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Berntsen
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jay Townsend 234,440 55.41%
Republican Gary Berntsen 188,628 44.59%
Total votes 423,068 100.00%

General election

Candidates

  • Anti-Prohibition Party: Randy Credico
  • Conservative Party of New York: Jay Townsend
  • Democratic Party: Chuck Schumer
  • Green Party: Colia Clark
  • Libertarian Party: Randy Credico
  • Republican Party: Jay Townsend
  • Taxpayers Party: Gary Berntsen

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[13] Solid D October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Safe D October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[15] Safe D October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe D October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Safe D October 26, 2010

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Chuck Schumer (D) $17,302,006 $11,824,587 $16,048,482 $0
Jay Townsend (R) $197,365 $180,693 $16,671 $105,854
Source: Federal Election Commission[18]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Chuck
Schumer (D) 		Jay
Townsend (R) 		Other Undecided
Siena College[19] May 17–20, 2010 808 ± 3.4% 63% 24% — 13%
Siena College[19] June 7–9, 2010 808 ± 3.4% 60% 26% — 14%
Rasmussen Reports[20] June 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 54% 33% 6% 6%
Siena College[19] July 12, 2010 808 ± 3.4% 63% 26% — 13%
Rasmussen Reports[21] September 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 58% 36% 3% 4%
Survey USA[22] September 20, 2010 1,000 ± 4.2% 54% 33% 10% 3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[23] October 7, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 63% 27% 6% —
Rasmussen Reports[21] October 19, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 59% 31% 5% 5%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[24] October 28–29, 2010 541 ± 4.2% 61% 35% 4% —
Siena College[25] October 27–30, 2010 603 ± 4.0% 64% 32% — 2%

Results

United States Senate election in New York, 2010[26][27]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Chuck Schumer 2,686,043 58.47%
Working Families Chuck Schumer 183,672 4.00%
Independence Chuck Schumer 177,396 3.86%
Total Chuck Schumer (incumbent) 3,047,111 66.33% −5.89
Republican Jay Townsend 1,238,947 26.97%
Conservative Jay Townsend 240,777 5.24%
Total Jay Townsend 1,479,724 32.21% +8.02
Green Colia Clark 42,340 0.92% +0.62
Libertarian Randy Credico 24,863 0.54% +0.24
Total votes 4,594,038 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Results by county

County[28] Chuck Schumer
Democratic 		Jay Townsend
Republican 		Various candidates Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Albany 67,363 66.7% 31,140 30.8% 2,466 2.4% 36,223 35.9% 100,969
Allegany 6,432 49.5% 6,354 48.9% 219 1.7% 78 0.6% 13,005
Bronx 155,292 90.1% 15,553 9.0% 1,513 0.9% 139,739 81.1% 172,358
Broome 32,768 54.2% 26,569 44.0% 1,100 1.8% 6,199 10.2% 60,437
Cattaraugus 11,874 54.5% 9,561 43.9% 361 1.6% 2,313 10.6% 21,796
Cayuga 13,592 61.6% 7,990 36.2% 479 2.1% 5,602 25.4% 22,061
Chautauqua 21,791 55.7% 16,752 42.8% 578 1.5% 5,039 12.9% 39,121
Chemung 13,927 57.7% 9,951 41.2% 278 1.2% 3,976 16.5% 24,156
Chenango 7,259 52.2% 6,308 45.4% 341 2.4% 951 6.8% 13,908
Clinton 14,128 63.3% 7,842 35.2% 337 1.5% 6,286 28.1% 22,307
Columbia 14,157 60.6% 8,671 37.1% 546 2.4% 5,486 23.5% 23,374
Cortland 8,046 58.9% 5,369 39.3% 255 1.8% 2,677 19.6% 13,670
Delaware 6,787 49.9% 6,503 47.8% 311 2.3% 284 2.1% 13,601
Dutchess 46,121 54.8% 36,801 43.7% 1,263 1.5% 9,320 11.1% 84,185
Erie 190,417 64.4% 100,302 33.9% 4,815 1.7% 90,115 30.5% 295,534
Essex 7,057 57.6% 4,949 40.4% 249 2.0% 2,108 17.2% 12,255
Franklin 7,428 62.5% 4,266 35.9% 192 1.6% 3,162 26.6% 11,886
Fulton 7,326 50.5% 6,960 48.0% 226 1.5% 366 2.5% 14,512
Genesee 9,069 51.6% 8,214 46.8% 287 1.6% 855 4.8% 17,570
Greene 8,076 50.8% 7,547 47.5% 272 1.7% 529 2.3% 15,895
Hamilton 1,149 44.7% 1,368 53.2% 54 2.0% −219 −8.5% 2,571
Herkimer 10,718 56.3% 8,018 42.1% 296 1.5% 2,700 13.2% 19,032
Jefferson 16,527 62.4% 9,654 36.4% 311 1.2% 6,873 26.0% 26,492
Kings 327,872 83.4% 59,372 15.1% 5,876 1.5% 268,500 68.3% 393,120
Lewis 4,196 57.6% 2,965 40.7% 120 1.7% 1,231 16.9% 7,281
Livingston 10,262 53.2% 8,740 45.3% 299 1.5% 1,522 7.9% 19,301
Madison 11,706 55.9% 8,768 41.8% 482 2.3% 2,938 14.1% 20,596
Monroe 142,858 62.8% 80,992 35.6% 3,460 1.4% 61,866 27.2% 227,310
Montgomery 7,325 53.6% 6,051 44.3% 294 2.1% 1,274 9.3% 13,670
Nassau 230,103 59.6% 152,797 39.6% 3,320 0.9% 77,306 20.0% 386,220
New York 298,926 85.1% 45,823 13.0% 6,534 1.9% 253,103 72.1% 351,283
Niagara 36,792 57.2% 26,555 41.3% 1,012 1.6% 10,237 15.9% 64,359
Oneida 39,924 59.2% 26,472 39.3% 1,021 1.5% 13,452 19.9% 67,417
Onondaga 91,733 64.5% 47,116 33.1% 3,318 2.3% 44,617 31.4% 142,167
Ontario 19,242 56.7% 14,174 41.8% 511 1.4% 5,068 14.9% 33,927
Orange 54,212 56.1% 41,077 42.5% 1,429 1.4% 13,135 13.6% 96,718
Orleans 5,597 51.2% 5,158 47.2% 182 1.6% 439 4.0% 10,937
Oswego 18,286 58.6% 12,182 39.0% 744 2.4% 6,104 19.6% 31,212
Otsego 9,962 55.8% 7,511 42.1% 387 2.2% 2,451 13.7% 17,860
Putnam 16,447 52.4% 14,549 46.4% 389 1.2% 1,898 6.0% 31,385
Queens 266,147 79.6% 64,567 19.3% 3,851 1.1% 201,580 60.3% 334,565
Rensselaer 31,645 59.6% 20,302 38.2% 1,169 2.2% 11,343 21.4% 53,116
Richmond 55,897 58.1% 39,445 41.0% 936 0.9% 16,452 17.1% 96,278
Rockland 51,652 61.3% 31,847 37.8% 777 0.9% 19,805 23.5% 84,276
St. Lawrence 18,908 67.0% 8,813 31.2% 495 1.7% 10,095 35.8% 28,216
Saratoga 43,823 54.6% 34,973 43.6% 1,482 1.8% 8,850 11.0% 80,278
Schenectady 28,388 59.6% 18,124 38.1% 1,111 2.4% 10,264 21.5% 47,623
Schoharie 5,182 50.1% 4,948 47.8% 220 2.1% 234 2.3% 10,350
Schuyler 3,134 53.4% 2,628 44.8% 103 1.7% 506 8.6% 5,865
Seneca 5,922 59.8% 3,799 38.3% 187 1.9% 2,123 21.5% 9,908
Steuben 14,180 52.3% 12,525 46.2% 389 1.4% 1,655 6.1% 27,094
Suffolk 224,677 57.6% 160,865 41.3% 4,252 1.1% 63,812 16.3% 389,794
Sullivan 12,099 57.9% 8,383 40.1% 404 1.9% 3,716 17.8% 20,886
Tioga 7,096 44.5% 8,563 53.7% 297 1.9% -1,467 -9.2% 15,956
Tompkins 20,728 71.2% 7,599 26.1% 786 2.6% 13,129 45.1% 29,113
Ulster 36,268 60.8% 21,788 36.5% 1,591 2.7% 14,480 24.3% 59,467
Warren 13,363 59.3% 8,795 39.0% 376 1.7% 4,568 20.3% 22,534
Washington 10,288 57.7% 7,141 40.1% 400 2.2% 3,147 17.6% 17,829
Wayne 13,781 51.7% 12,412 46.6% 468 1.8% 1,369 5.1% 26,661
Westchester 171,334 65.9% 86,084 33.1% 2,711 1.0% 85,250 32.8% 260,129
Wyoming 6,018 48.5% 6,092 49.1% 295 2.4% −74 −0.6% 12,405
Yates 3,834 54.5% 3,087 43.9% 113 1.6% 747 10.6% 7,034
Totals 3,047,111 66.3% 1,479,724 32.2% 68,540 1.5% 1,567,387 34.1% 4,595,375

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Aftermath

Credico sued the New York State Board of Elections under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, claiming unfair treatment regarding ballot access. Despite being nominated by both the Libertarian Party and the Anti-Prohibition Party, in most jurisdictions, he only appeared on the ballot once. On June 19, 2013, the Federal District Court for the Eastern District of New York ruled in favor of Credico.[29] The New York State Board of Elections did not appeal this decision.[30]

References

  1. ^ Richberg, Keith B. (December 2, 2008). "A Rush for Clinton's Senate Seat". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 18, 2008.
  2. ^ a b Saltonsall, David (February 1, 2009). "Sen. Chuck Schumer unlikely to see competition in 2010 reelection bid". New York Daily News. Retrieved February 2, 2009.
  3. ^ Silver, Nate (December 8, 2008). "2010 Senate Rankings, Revised and Extended". FiveThirtyEight.com. Archived from the original on February 4, 2009. Retrieved January 24, 2009.
  4. ^ Lovett, Kenneth (March 23, 2009). "New Siena Poll finds Gov. David Paterson's approval rating at just 19%". New York: Nydailynews.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  5. ^ "Senate Races 2010". VoteFromAbroad.org. Retrieved December 18, 2008.
  6. ^ a b McKenna, Chris (June 2, 2010). "Townsend trails Berntsen at state GOP convention". Times Herald-Record. Archived from the original on June 16, 2011. Retrieved August 17, 2010.
  7. ^ "Martin Chicon NY-US Senator 2010 Republican Candidate NYC Sat 10/3/09 - AOL Video". Video.aol.co.uk. Archived from the original on September 20, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  8. ^ "Nassau Comptroller Eyeing Schumer Challenge". Capitaltonight.com. April 15, 2010. Archived from the original on August 15, 2011. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  9. ^ "Latest count on U.S. Senate candidates: 22 | Politics on the Hudson". Polhudson.lohudblogs.com. May 12, 2010. Archived from the original on May 19, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  10. ^ Trygstad, Kyle (June 2, 2010). "NY GOP Chooses Berntsen Against Schumer". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  11. ^ "Townsend Wins GOP Primary For Senate Seat". CBS New York. Associated Press. September 14, 2010. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  12. ^ "New York State Board of Elections - Statewide Republican US Senator Primary - 6 year - Full Term" (PDF). NYS Board of Elections. September 14, 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 23, 2012. Retrieved January 28, 2017.
  13. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  14. ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  15. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  16. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  17. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  18. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for New York". fec.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2010.
  19. ^ a b c Siena College
  20. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  21. ^ a b Rasmussen Reports
  22. ^ Survey USA
  23. ^ Angus Reid Public Opinion
  24. ^ Angus Reid Public Opinion
  25. ^ Siena College
  26. ^ "New York Election Results". The New York Times.
  27. ^ "NYS Board of Elections U.S. Senator Election Returns November 2, 2010" (PDF). New York State BOE. Archived from the original (PDF) on December 30, 2016. Retrieved January 28, 2017.
  28. ^ "NYS Board of Elections U.S. Senator Election Returns November 2, 2010". New York State BOE. Retrieved April 19, 2026.
  29. ^ "New York Libertarian Party Wins Lawsuit Against Discriminatory Election Law | Ballot Access News". June 20, 2013.
  30. ^ "New York State Changes Mind, Won't Appeal Credico Decision | Ballot Access News". July 12, 2013.
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