2007 Canarian regional election

2007 Canarian regional election
27 May 2007
All 60 seats in the Parliament of the Canary Islands
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered1,535,703 Increase 6.7%
Turnout940,852 (61.3%)
Decrease 3.3 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Juan Fernando López Aguilar Paulino Rivero José Manuel Soria
Party PSOE CC–PNC PP
Leader since 28 October 2006 3 February 2007 16 July 1999
Leader's seat Gran Canaria Tenerife Gran Canaria
Last election 17 seats, 25.4% 23 seats, 36.3%[a] 17 seats, 30.6%
Seats won 26 19 15
Seat change Increase 9 Decrease 4 Decrease 2
Popular vote 322,833 225,878 224,883
Percentage 34.5% 24.1% 24.0%
Swing Increase 9.1 pp Decrease 12.2 pp Decrease 6.6 pp
Constituency results map for the Parliament of the Canary Islands
President before election

Adán Martín
CC

Elected President

Paulino Rivero
CC

A regional election was held in the Canary Islands on 27 May 2007 to elect the 7th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 60 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.

Overview

Under the 1982 Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament of the Canary Islands was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.[1] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.[2]

Date

The term of the Parliament of the Canary Islands expired four years after the date of its previous ordinary election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Canaries (BOC).[3] The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 27 May 2007.

The Parliament of the Canary Islands could not be dissolved before the expiration date of parliament, except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term.[4]

The election to the Parliament of the Canary Islands was officially called on 3 April 2007 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOC, setting election day for 27 May.[5]

Electoral system

Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Canary Islands and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.[6]

The Parliament of the Canary Islands had a minimum of 50 and a maximum of 70 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 60. All were elected in seven multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the islands of El Hierro, Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera, La Palma, Lanzarote and Tenerife, each of which was assigned a fixed number of seats—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a 30 percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency. Alternatively, parties could also enter the seat distribution as long as they reached six percent regionally.[7]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:[8]

Seats Constituencies
15 Gran Canaria, Tenerife
8 La Palma, Lanzarote
7 Fuerteventura
4 La Gomera
3 El Hierro

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[9]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 31 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Canary Islands.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Canary Islands.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Parliament of the Canary Islands election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 322,833 34.51 +9.09 26 +9
Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party (CC–PNC)1 225,878 24.15 −12.12 19 −4
People's Party (PP) 224,883 24.04 −6.57 15 −2
New Canaries (NCa) 50,749 5.43 New 0 ±0
Canarian Centre (CCN)2 46,676 4.99 +3.58 0 −3
The Greens (Verdes) 17,793 1.90 −0.08 0 ±0
Commitment to Gran Canaria (CGCa) 8,512 0.91 New 0 ±0
Canarian United Left (IUC) 6,558 0.70 −0.61 0 ±0
Canarian Popular Alternative–25 May Citizens' Alternative (APCa–AC25M)3 4,824 0.52 −0.50 0 ±0
Canarian Nationalist Alternative (ANC) 2,539 0.27 New 0 ±0
Unity of the People (UP) 1,485 0.16 New 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Canarian People (PCPC) 1,338 0.14 −0.05 0 ±0
Nationalist Maga Alternative (AMAGA) 1,079 0.12 New 0 ±0
Party of Gran Canaria (PGC) 1,073 0.11 New 0 ±0
Centre Coalition (CCCAN) 1,006 0.11 New 0 ±0
Movement for the Unity of the Canarian People (MUPC) 888 0.09 New 0 ±0
Alternative Island (ISAL) 870 0.09 New 0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH) 777 0.08 −0.06 0 ±0
Citizens' Union–Independent Progressives of Canaries (UC–PIC) 557 0.06 New 0 ±0
Commitment to Tenerife (CTF) 466 0.05 New 0 ±0
The Phalanx (FE) 327 0.03 New 0 ±0
National Democracy (DN) 302 0.03 −0.01 0 ±0
Citizens' Initiative for Fuerteventura (ICF) 286 0.03 New 0 ±0
Pensionist Assembly of the Canaries (TPC) 280 0.03 −0.02 0 ±0
Canarian Nationalist Party (PNC)4 244 0.03 −0.02 0 ±0
Blank ballots 13,237 1.42 +0.14
Total 935,460 60 ±0
Valid votes 935,460 99.43 −0.01
Invalid votes 5,392 0.57 +0.01
Votes cast / turnout 940,852 61.27 −3.35
Abstentions 594,851 38.73 +3.35
Registered voters 1,535,703
Sources[10][11]
Footnotes:
  • 1 Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party results are compared to the combined totals of Canarian Coalition and Canarian Nationalist Federation in Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera and Tenerife in the 2003 election.
  • 2 Canarian Centre results are compared to Canarian Nationalist Federation totals in Lanzarote in the 2003 election.
  • 3 Canarian Popular Alternative–25 May Citizens' Alternative results are compared to the combined totals of Canarian Popular Alternative and 25 May Citizens' Alternative in the 2003 election.
  • 4 Canarian Nationalist Party results are compared to Canarian Nationalist Federation totals in El Hierro in the 2003 election.
Popular vote
PSOE
 
 34.51%
CC–PNC
 
 24.15%
PP
 
 24.04%
NCa
 
 5.43%
CCN
 
 4.99%
Verdes
 
 1.90%
Others
 
 3.57%
Blank ballots
 
 1.42%
Seats
PSOE
 
 43.33%
CC–PNC
 
 31.67%
PP
 
 25.00%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PSOE CC–PNC PP
% S % S % S
El Hierro 23.5 1 47.1 2 19.8 −
Fuerteventura 32.3 3 30.3 2 23.9 2
Gran Canaria 37.9 7 5.4 1 34.2 7
La Gomera 54.8 3 31.9 1 5.0 −
La Palma 28.2 3 46.2 4 17.0 1
Lanzarote 28.7 4 18.7 2 15.2 2
Tenerife 32.2 5 39.6 7 16.5 3
Total 34.5 26 24.1 19 24.0 15
Sources[10][11]

Aftermath

Government formation

Investiture
Nomination of Paulino Rivero (CC)
Ballot → 11 July 2007
Required majority → 31 out of 60 checkY
Yes
  • • CC–PNC (19)
  • • PP (15)
34 / 60
No
  • • PSOE (26)
26 / 60
Abstentions
0 / 60
Absentees
0 / 60
Sources[10][12]

Notes

  1. ^ Results for CC (32.9%, 23 seats) and FNC (3.4%, 0 seats)—not including Lanzarote—in the 2003 election.
  2. ^ a b c d Does not include non-resident citizens.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Los sondeos dan la victoria al PSOE con el 36% de los votos". Crónicas de Lanzarote (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
  2. ^ "Las coincidencias entre sondeos confirman tendencias a menos de una semana de las elecciones". Canariasahora.es (in Spanish). 21 May 2007.
  3. ^ "Todo pendiente de los pactos". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 19 May 2007.
  4. ^ "Las preferencias cambian y los pactos mandan". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 18 May 2007.
  5. ^ "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  6. ^ a b "Vuelco en Canarias a favor del PSOE por el tirón de López Aguilar". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  7. ^ "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 20 May 2007. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
  8. ^ "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 11 May 2009. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
  9. ^ "El PSOE ganaría en Canarias pero no tendría garantizado el Gobierno". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 14 May 2007.
  10. ^ "Pulsómetro 14/05/2007. Jaén, Cádiz, Málaga, Granada, Córdoba, Huelva y Canarias". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 14 May 2007. Archived from the original on 16 May 2007. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
  11. ^ "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PSOE mantendría sus comunidades si revalida las coaliciones". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 May 2007.
  12. ^ "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  13. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. CA de Canarias (Estudio nº 2690. Abril-Mayo 2007)". CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
  14. ^ "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  15. ^ "Los socialistas auguran una debacle de CC en los próximos comicios". ABC (in Spanish). 28 February 2007.
  16. ^ "Una encuesta da el triunfo al PSC-PSOE en Canarias". Lanzarote Digital (in Spanish). 4 February 2007. Archived from the original on 4 July 2018. Retrieved 4 July 2018.
  17. ^ "Una nueva encuesta da el triunfo al PSC en Canarias". Canariasahora.es (in Spanish). 4 February 2007.
  18. ^ "El PP y el PSOE mantendrán sus gobiernos autonómicos, aunque los socialistas bajan". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  19. ^ "López Aguilar se beneficia del batacazo de Coalición Canaria". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006. Archived from the original on 16 November 2011.
  20. ^ "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  21. ^ a b "Un sondeo apunta que el PSOE podría ganar las elecciones en Canarias aunque sin mayoría absoluta". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 19 November 2006.
  22. ^ "El PSOE ganará en 2007". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 28 May 2006.
  23. ^ a b "Encuesta de 'clima' político-electoral de Canarias" (PDF). TNS Demoscopia (in Spanish). 27 January 2006.
  24. ^ "CC muestra una encuesta favorable y que no incluye la reforma electoral". ABC (in Spanish). 28 January 2006.
  25. ^ "CC y PSC "preparan encuestas" porque "no lo tienen claro"". ABC (in Spanish). 29 January 2006.
Other
  1. ^ Statute (1982), arts. 13, 15 & 17.
  2. ^ LECC (2003), final prov. 1.
  3. ^ Statute (1982), art. 10; LECC (2003), art. 16 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), art. 42).
  4. ^ Statute (1982), art. 17.
  5. ^ Decree 44/2007 (2007), art. 1.
  6. ^ Statute (1982), arts. 9–10; LECC (2003), art. 2 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3).
  7. ^ Statute (1982), art. 9 & trans. prov. 1.
  8. ^ Statute (1982), trans. prov. 1; Decree 44/2007 (2007), art. 2.
  9. ^ LECC (2003), art. 21 & single add. prov. (suppl. by LOREG (1985), arts. 46 & 48).
  10. ^ a b c Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias (desde 1983)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 April 2026.
  11. ^ a b "Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias. Elecciones 2007" (in Spanish). Parliament of the Canary Islands. Retrieved 26 April 2026.
  12. ^ "Paulino Rivero, investido presidente de Canarias con el apoyo del PP". El País (in Spanish). Santa Cruz de Tenerife. 11 July 2007. Retrieved 27 April 2026.

Bibliography

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