2000 Andalusian regional election

2000 Andalusian regional election
12 March 2000
All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia
55 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered5,918,722 Increase 6.1%
Turnout4,066,830 (68.7%)
Decrease 9.2 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Manuel Chaves Teófila Martínez Antonio Romero
Party PSOE–A PP IULV–CA
Leader since 19 April 1990 20 February 1999 28 July 1996
Leader's seat Cádiz Cádiz Málaga
Last election 52 seats, 44.1% 40 seats, 34.0% 13 seats, 14.0%
Seats won 52 46 6
Seat change Steady 0 Increase 6 Decrease 7
Popular vote 1,790,653 1,535,987 327,435
Percentage 44.3% 38.0% 8.1%
Swing Increase 0.2 pp Increase 4.0 pp Decrease 5.9 pp
  Fourth party
 
Leader Pedro Pacheco
Party PA
Leader since 1994
Leader's seat Cádiz
Last election 4 seats, 6.7%
Seats won 5
Seat change Increase 1
Popular vote 300,356
Percentage 7.4%
Swing Increase 0.7 pp
Constituency results map for the Parliament of Andalusia
President before election

Manuel Chaves
PSOE–A

Elected President

Manuel Chaves
PSOE–A

A regional election was held in Andalusia on 12 March 2000 to elect the 6th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with the 2000 Spanish general election.

The ruling Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) of Manuel Chaves won with a relative majority of 52 and was re-elected for a fourth term as president of the Regional Government of Andalusia with the support of the Andalusian Party (PA). The opposition People's Party (PP) secured its best result in a regional election up to that point, whereas United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) saw a major decrease in both votes and seats.

Overview

Under the 1981 Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament of Andalusia was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.[1] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.[2]

Date

The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (BOJA), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication (barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August).[3] The previous election was held on 3 March 1996, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 3 March 2000. The election decree was required to be published in the BOJA no later than 8 February 2000, setting the latest possible date for election day on 2 April 2000.

The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year after a previous one.[4]

The Parliament of Andalusia was officially dissolved on 18 January 2000 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOJA, setting election day for 12 March and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 6 April.[5][6][7]

Electoral system

Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.[8]

The Parliament of Andalusia had a minimum of 90 and a maximum of 110 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 109. All were elected in eight multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville, each of which was assigned an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 distributed in proportion to population (with the number of seats in each province not exceeding two times that of any other)—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.[9] The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.[10]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:[11]

Seats Constituencies
18 Seville(–1)
16 Málaga(+1)
15 Cádiz
13 Córdoba, Granada
12 Jaén
11 Almería, Huelva

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[12]

Outgoing parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[13]

Parliamentary composition in January 2000
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE–A 52 52
Andalusian People's Parliamentary Group PP 40 40
United Left/The Greens Parliamentary Group IULV–CA 13 13
Andalusian Parliamentary Group PA 4 4

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.[14]

Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Vote % Seats
PSOE–A
List
 Manuel Chaves Social democracy 44.1% 52 Yes [15]
PP
List
  • People's Party (PP)
Teófila Martínez Conservatism
Christian democracy 		34.0% 40 No [16]
[17]
[18]
IULV–CA
List
  • United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)
    – Communist Party of Andalusia (PCA)
    – Socialist Action Party (PASOC)
    – Republican Left (IR)
    – Collective for the Unity of Workers–Andalusian Left Bloc (CUT–BAI)
    – Revolutionary Workers' Party (POR)
    – Workers' Revolutionary Party (PRT)
Antonio Romero Socialism
Communism 		14.0% 13 No
PA
List
  • Andalusian Party (PA)
  • Andalusian Forum (FA)
  • Socialist Party of Andalusia (PSA)
Pedro Pacheco Andalusian nationalism
Social democracy 		6.7% 4 Yes [19]

Campaign

Debates

2000 Andalusian regional election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[a]    S  Surrogate[b]  
 NI  Not invited   I  Invited    A  Absent invitee 
PSOE–A PP IULV–CA PA Audience Ref.
1 March Canal Sur Tom Martín Benítez P
Chaves 		P
Martínez 		P
Romero 		P
Pacheco 		20.2%
(520,000) 		[20]
[21]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 3 March 1996 to 12 March 2000, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Andalusia.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 12 March 2000 Parliament of Andalusia election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) 1,790,653 44.32 +0.27 52 ±0
People's Party (PP) 1,535,987 38.02 +4.06 46 +6
United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) 327,435 8.11 −5.86 6 −7
Andalusian Party (PA) 300,356 7.43 +0.77 5 +1
Andalusian Left (IA) 10,232 0.25 New 0 ±0
Andalusian Nation (NA) 5,034 0.12 −0.02 0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH) 4,389 0.11 +0.01 0 ±0
Andalusia Assembly (A) 4,380 0.11 New 0 ±0
The Phalanx (FE) 2,754 0.07 New 0 ±0
Almerian Regionalist Union (URAL) 1,550 0.04 New 0 ±0
Green Ecologist Alternative of Marbella and San Pedro de Alcántara (AEV) 1,304 0.03 New 0 ±0
Party of the Separated and Divorced (PSD) 1,180 0.03 New 0 ±0
Independent Spanish Phalanx (FEI) 1,018 0.03 New 0 ±0
Voice of the Andalusian People (VDPA) 732 0.02 ±0.00 0 ±0
Centrist Union–Democratic and Social Centre (UC–CDS) 492 0.01 −0.03 0 ±0
National Union (UN) 415 0.01 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 51,921 1.29 +0.52
Total 4,039,832 109 ±0
Valid votes 4,039,832 99.34 −0.03
Invalid votes 26,998 0.66 +0.03
Votes cast / turnout 4,066,830 68.71 −9.23
Abstentions 1,851,892 31.29 +9.23
Registered voters 5,918,722
Sources[13][22]
Popular vote
PSOE–A
 
 44.32%
PP
 
 38.02%
IULV–CA
 
 8.11%
PA
 
 7.43%
Others
 
 0.83%
Blank ballots
 
 1.29%
Seats
PSOE–A
 
 47.70%
PP
 
 42.20%
IULV–CA
 
 5.50%
PA
 
 4.59%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PSOE–A PP IULV–CA PA
% S % S % S % S
Almería 43.0 5 46.4 6 4.5 − 3.7 −
Cádiz 39.5 6 37.4 6 6.3 1 14.5 2
Córdoba 40.7 6 38.3 5 12.3 1 6.9 1
Granada 44.7 6 40.9 6 7.4 1 5.2 −
Huelva 47.1 6 37.8 5 7.0 − 6.5 −
Jaén 48.2 6 38.2 5 7.3 1 4.9 −
Málaga 40.1 7 41.1 7 8.9 1 7.3 1
Seville 49.5 10 32.3 6 8.6 1 7.2 1
Total 44.3 52 38.0 46 8.1 6 7.4 5
Sources[13][22]

Aftermath

Government formation

Investiture
Nomination of Manuel Chaves (PSOE–A)
Ballot → 25 April 2000
Required majority → 55 out of 109 checkY
Yes
57 / 109
No
  • • PP (46)
  • • IULV–CA (6)
52 / 109
Abstentions
0 / 109
Absentees
0 / 109
Sources[13][23]

Notes

  1. ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  2. ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  3. ^ a b Undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.
  4. ^ a b c Does not include non-resident citizens.

References

Opinion poll sources

  1. ^ "DEBATE ABIERTO: Elecciones Generales 12M/2000" (PDF). Investigación y Marketing (in Spanish). Archived from the original (PDF) on 1 February 2014. Retrieved 19 August 2017.
  2. ^ "Chaves roza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía a costa de IU, pese al alza del PP". El Mundo (in Spanish). 4 March 2000.
  3. ^ "El PSOE roza la mayoría absoluta en las andaluzas pese a que el PP recorta su ventaja". ABC (in Spanish). 6 March 2000.
  4. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones generales y autonómicas de Andalucía, 2000 (Estudio nº 2382. Febrero 2000)". CIS (in Spanish). 3 March 2000.
  5. ^ "Los socialistas rozan la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía". ABC (in Spanish). 4 March 2000.
  6. ^ "El PSOE está al borde de recuperar la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía". El País (in Spanish). 28 February 2000.
  7. ^ "El PSOE roza la mayoría absoluta en las elecciones autonómicas andaluzas". El País (in Spanish). 28 February 2000.
  8. ^ "El PSOE no alcanzaría mayoría absoluta y el PP recortaría a 6 puntos la ventaja socialista". ABC (in Spanish). 19 February 2000.
  9. ^ "El PSOE aventaja al PP en 7 puntos, según un sondeo". El País (in Spanish). 6 January 2000.
  10. ^ "Un sondeo del PP sobre las andaluzas da la victoria al PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 13 December 1999.
  11. ^ "Una encuesta del PA le da el doble de escaños en Andalucía y representación en el Congreso". El País (in Spanish). 24 November 1999.
  12. ^ "El PSOE volvería a ganar las elecciones andaluzas sin mayoría absoluta". ABC (in Spanish). 24 November 1999.
  13. ^ "Una encuesta de los empresarios sitúa al PSOE al borde de la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía". El País (in Spanish). 9 November 1999.
  14. ^ "Todas las fuerzas políticas subirán escaños menos IU, según una encuesta de la CEA". ABC (in Spanish). 9 November 1999.
  15. ^ "El PP recortaría a ocho diputados la distancia con el PSOE en las próximas autonómicas". ABC (in Spanish). 23 May 1999.
  16. ^ "El PP dice que el sondeo sobre las autonómicas lo sitúa como "ganador"". ABC (in Spanish). 24 May 1999.
  17. ^ "El PSOE reduce su ventaja en Andalucía aunque supera al PP en 12,7 puntos en intención de voto". El País (in Spanish). 27 February 1999.
  18. ^ "El PP rebaja a la mitad su desventaja y se sitúa a sólo 4,4 puntos del PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 27 February 1999.
  19. ^ "Pizarro vaticina un "vuelco espectacular" en el voto urbano por la pérdida de apoyos del Partido Popular". El País (in Spanish). 13 April 1999.
  20. ^ "Los andalucistas desplazan a IU y se colocan como tercera fuerza, según una encuesta del PA". El País (in Spanish). 25 September 1998.
  21. ^ "El PSOE supera en 15 puntos al PP en Andalucía, según una encuesta de los socialistas". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 July 1998.
  22. ^ "El PSOE amplía su ventaja sobre el PP en AndaIucía". El País (in Spanish). 28 February 1998.
  23. ^ "Una encuesta de los socialistas los coloca diez puntos por encima de los populares". ABC (in Spanish). 7 February 1998.
  24. ^ "Según la última encuesta del PSOE-A, Izquierda Unida estaría al borde de la "debacle electoral"". ABC (in Spanish). 13 December 1997.
  25. ^ "El PP-A niega el valor científico de la encuesta que ayer dio a conocer el PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 13 December 1997.
  26. ^ "El 70 por ciento de los andaluces rechazan el "medicamentazo", según una encuesta del PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 16 December 1997.
  27. ^ "El PA triplicaría sus escaños y adelantaría a IU-CA en número de diputados, según una encuesta". ABC (in Spanish). 25 September 1997.
  28. ^ "El 46 por ciento de los andaluces no conoce el pacto de gobierno en la Junta, según una encuesta del propio PA". ABC (in Spanish). 10 November 1997.
  29. ^ "El PP acortaría distancias con el PSOE en unas hipotéticas elecciones andaluzas, según una encuesta de los populares". ABC (in Spanish). 14 June 1997.
  30. ^ "Un 54 por ciento de los andaluces no ha oído hablar de la financiación, según una encuesta del PSOE-A". ABC (in Spanish). 15 February 1997.

Other

  1. ^ Statute (1981), arts. 25, 30–31 & 33.
  2. ^ LEAn (1986), final prov. 1.
  3. ^ Statute (1981), art. 26; LEAn (1986), arts. 14–15 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), art. 42).
  4. ^ LGAAn (1983), arts. 14 & 55–56 (am. by LGAAn (1994), art. 1).
  5. ^ Decree 1/2000 (2000), arts. 1–2 & 5.
  6. ^ Pedrote, Isabel; Lucio, Lourdes (12 January 2000). "Chaves pone fin a la incertidumbre al fijar las elecciones autonómicas para el 12 de marzo". El País (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 7 April 2026.
  7. ^ "Chaves convoca hoy elecciones el 12 de marzo y disuelve el Parlamento". El País (in Spanish). Seville. 17 January 2000. Retrieved 7 April 2026.
  8. ^ Statute (1981), arts. 26 & 28; LEAn (1986), art. 2 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3).
  9. ^ Statute (1981), arts. 26 & 28; LEAn (1986), arts. 16–18.
  10. ^ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Dublin: Trinity College Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  11. ^ Decree 1/2000 (2000), art. 3.
  12. ^ LEAn (1986), art. 19 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), arts. 46 & 48).
  13. ^ a b c d Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía (desde 1982)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 19 October 2025.
  14. ^ LEAn (1986), arts. 22–23 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), art. 44).
  15. ^ "El PSOE de Andalucía decide celebrar primarias para elegir a sus candidatos electorales". El País (in Spanish). 30 June 1997. Retrieved 7 April 2026.
  16. ^ Barbero, Luis (21 February 1999). "Teófila Martínez sustituye a Javier Arenas en el PP andaluz". El País (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 7 April 2026.
  17. ^ Barbero, Luis (19 July 1999). "Teófila Martínez acepta ser la candidata del PP en Andalucía". El País (in Spanish). Granada. Retrieved 7 April 2026.
  18. ^ Barbero, Luis (25 July 1999). "Teófila Martínez logra un respaldo total para presidir el PP andaluz". El País (in Spanish). Granada. Retrieved 7 April 2026.
  19. ^ Barbero, Luis (20 November 1999). "Los andalucistas designan a Pacheco por tercera vez candidato a la Junta". El País (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 28 April 2026.
  20. ^ Pedrote, Isabel (1 March 2000). "Los cuatro candidatos a la presidencia de la Junta se ven hoy las caras en Canal Sur". El País (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 May 2022.
  21. ^ "El PP cree "clarificado" que la campaña es "tres contra Teófila"". ABC (in Spanish). 3 March 2000. Retrieved 10 May 2022.
  22. ^ a b "Resolución de 23 de marzo de 2000, de la Presidencia de la Junta Electoral de Andalucía, por la que se hacen públicos los resultados generales y por circunscripciones, y relación de Diputados proclamados electos en las elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía celebradas el día 12 de marzo de 2000" (PDF). Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (in Spanish) (38): 5126–5129. 30 March 2000. ISSN 2253-802X. Retrieved 7 April 2026.
  23. ^ Lucio, Lourdes (26 April 2000). "La oposición pone condiciones a la oferta de diálogo de Chaves durante su investidura". El País (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 7 April 2026.

Bibliography

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